The next 10 years: Will real-time metaverses become reality? | NFT CULTURE | NFT News | Web3 culture
“Real-time metaverse: a possibility within a decade?”
The future of technology is often portrayed as a seamless blend of reality and digital spaces, a world where virtual reality (VR), augmented reality (AR) and AI technologies come together to form real-time metaverses. With the rapid development of technology, especially in graphics processing units (GPUs) used in machine learning, could we see this become a reality within the next decade?
In recent years, the speed and performance of GPUs have improved at a remarkable rate. Research shows that the performance of all GPUs doubles approximately every 2.46. year, while GPUs used in machine learning specifically double their performance roughly every 2.07. This rate of improvement could potentially lead to the creation of highly immersive real-time metaverses in the not too distant future.
Consider this: Just a few years ago, the idea that the art industry could be disrupted by AI technologies capable of creating indistinguishable masterpieces in seconds would have been considered science fiction. But here we are, living in a world where works of art created by artificial intelligence are sold for huge sums at auction houses. This rapid development and disruption in one sector gives us a glimpse of the transformative potential AI and advanced GPUs have for various industries, including the potential creation of real-time metaverses.
A crucial component of these future metaverses may be large language models (LLMs) such as GPT and its successors. These AI models have the potential to create customized, dynamic experiences based on real-time feedback. Imagine entering a virtual world where missions, interactions and non-player characters (NPCs) are tailored to suit your preferences and respond to your actions. This level of personalization can make the metaverse experience incredibly immersive and engaging, transforming the way we interact with digital spaces.
However, the creation of real-time metaverses is a multifaceted challenge that goes beyond raw GPU performance. It involves advances in network latency, data storage and management, user interfaces and, importantly, power efficiency. AMD, a leading GPU manufacturer, predicts that by the end of 2024 we could start seeing GPUs with a thermal design power (TDP) as high as 700 watts. Still, even as power consumption increases, the company is targeting significant performance-per-watt improvements, targeting a 50% improvement for their RDNA 3 GPUs compared to the current generation.
The development of midjourney and stable diffusion technology will also play a critical role. These technologies will facilitate seamless transitions between physical and digital spaces, as well as stable integration of digital elements in our physical environment. Although these technologies are currently in their infancy, the next decade could see significant advances.
The potential of VR and AR technologies to shape the metaverse is enormous. VR can offer highly immersive experiences, transporting users into completely digital worlds. Meanwhile, AR can overlay digital elements onto our physical reality, blending the digital and physical worlds. Both technologies can play a crucial role in the creation of real-time metaverses.
Given these advances, it is plausible to speculate that we may see the beginnings of real-time metaverses within the next decade. However, the realization of this vision will not only depend on technological advances, but also on how we navigate challenges related to privacy, security and ethical considerations. As we continue to innovate and push the boundaries of technology, it is critical that we do so in a way that is responsible, inclusive and beneficial to all.